WATCH LIVE as Gambakwe unpacks the next expected moves in the Iran war.
Overview: Iran’s Diplomatic and Military Crisis (March 2026)
This document outlines the key allegations, diplomatic actions, and reported next moves following the initiation of “Operation Epic Fury” and the subsequent escalation between Iran, the US, and regional powers.
I. Core Allegations
- US War Aims: The US is alleged to be seeking to partition Iran and gain control of its oil resources. It is believed that the US intends to redraw Iran’s national borders following the conflict.
- Iranian Stance: Iran has stated it will not allow the US to take control of its oil.
- US Intelligence believe that Iran has ~450 kg of 60%-enriched uranium (near weapons-grade) at sites like Isfahan, potentially movable despite prior strikes
II. High-Level Diplomatic Calls
- Iranian President’s Calls (March 8, 2026)
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian engaged in several high-stakes diplomatic calls to de-escalate tensions following Iranian strikes on neighboring countries.
- To Affected Neighbors (“The Apology Calls”):
- Azerbaijan: Spoke with President Ilham Aliyev. He denied that Iran intentionally struck the Nakhchivan exclave, promised an investigation, and thanked Aliyev for offering condolences at the Iranian embassy.
- Qatar: Spoke with the Emir of Qatar. He apologized for the strikes that hit Qatari territory and discussed Qatar’s potential role as a mediator in the conflict with the U.S. and Israel.
- United Arab Emirates: Issued a public apology for the “miscommunication” that led to strikes on Dubai and Abu Dhabi and signaled a suspension of attacks against the Emirates.
- To Global Powers:
- Russia: Spoke with President Vladimir Putin (March 6/7). Putin expressed condolences for the death of the late Supreme Leader and civilian casualties. They discussed strategic cooperation and Russia’s call for a halt to hostilities.
- France: Spoke with President Emmanuel Macron. Macron urged a diplomatic solution and cautioned against further escalation.
- Other Diplomatic Communications
- Mediators: President Pezeshkian indicated contact with several nations regarding mediation, specifically referencing Turkey, Oman, and Egypt.
- Incoming Calls for Diplomacy:
- Oman & Malaysia: The Sultan of Oman and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim reached out to the Iranian presidency to push for a “diplomatic off-ramp.”
- Bahrain & Saudi Arabia: Leaders have been in contact with international mediators (and indirectly with Pezeshkian’s office) to coordinate humanitarian aid and discuss the safety of foreign nationals.
- UN Action: Russia wrote to the UN Security Council, calling for dialogue.
III. Diplomatic Actions Against Iran
- Summoning of Ambassadors
Several nations formally protested the Iranian strikes by summoning Iran’s ambassadors or envoys.
| Country | Date | Action & Key Details |
| Azerbaijan | March 5 | Summoned Ambassador Mojtaba Dermichilu after drones struck near a school and airport in its Nakhchivan exclave, calling it an “act of terror.” |
| UAE | Not specified | Summoned the ambassador to protest “terrorist attacks” and reportedly considered economic measures, such as freezing Iranian assets. |
| United Kingdom | March 4 | Summoned Ambassador Seyed Ali Mousavi. Minister Hamish Falconer condemned Iran’s “escalatory behavior” and attempts to draw the region into a wider conflict. |
| Germany | Early March | Confirmed it summoned the ambassador to condemn the strikes on regional infrastructure. |
| Italy | March 3 | Summoned the ambassador, specifically citing the drone attack on a British RAF base in Cyprus (an EU member). |
| The Netherlands | March 5 | Summoned Iranian envoy to protest “indiscriminate” missile and drone strikes targeting regional partners, including Cyprus and Turkey. |
- Further Retaliatory Measures
- Azerbaijan: Recalled its diplomatic staff from Tehran and warned of a potential “military response.”
IV. Reported Next Moves
- Ground Invasion: The US is reported to be planning to send ground forces into Iran, with the stated objective of securing uranium sites.
- Regional Escalation: Neighboring countries are reported to have attacked Iranian territory for the first time.
